#polymarket

Hook A single unverified line from Crypto Briefing. A 70% probability on a...

Azerbaijan’s confirmation of secret talks between Russia and Ukraine sent a...

A prediction market priced the chance of a permanent peace deal between Israe...

The network that just clinked champagne glasses over hitting one million...

A Champions League qualifier ended last night. The score? 3-1. The real story...

The ledger bleeds where emotion replaces logic. On August 23, 2024, a cryptic...

The hearing room echoed with the usual platitudes. A lawyer, presumably paid ...

A lawyer stood before a House committee last week and uttered a phrase that...

We didn't see it coming. But the data was there, hiding in plain sight on a...

The telegram pinged at 2:17 AM Vienna time. Israel’s defense ministry had jus...

Let us assume the lawyer's testimony is correct. Prediction markets have...

Alpha detected. Position established. Over the past 72 hours, a single...

The state machine of American regulation just received two conflicting...

In the first half of 2025, Kalshi—a CFTC-regulated prediction market...

The number is stark: 8.5%. That is the current price for the "YES" outcome on...

65%. That is the number splashed across Crypto Briefing’s headline—Polymarket...

52.5%. That’s the probability the market assigned to a Houthi attack on...

On July 22, Polymarket priced a 51% probability of Iranian military action...

The final match of the World Cup generated over $6.2 billion in notional volu...

On April 14, 2025, a single event sent ripples through both the Persian Gulf...

Attention, solana degens. The data just dropped. $26 million in bridged asset...

In the quiet of the on-chain order book, a number flickered: 53%. It was not ...

I used to think that the biggest threat to blockchain’s vision was the slow...

On a quiet Sunday morning, Jordan's air defense systems intercepted Iranian...

Hook 0.1%. That was the implied probability. Mike Maignan, AC Milan’s...

The market is pricing a 11.5% chance that the Hormuz Strait returns to normal...

The Polymarket contract read 59.5% YES. The event: “Iran launches precision...

Last week, the French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) blocked access to...

The ledger remembers what the hype forgets. On Polymarket, a contract current...

A fresh round of military drills near the Ukrainian border. News feeds go dar...

The Polymarket contract read 11.5% on July 20. A 11.5% probability that the...

Hook The number stares back at you: 16.5% YES – a crisp, machine-readable...

The code is silent, but the ledger screams. On Polymarket, the probability th...

Over the past 48 hours, two major prediction markets have offered starkly...

Over the past 7 days, a protocol lost access to an entire country's user base...

Polymarket’s daily active traders hit 12,000 last Thursday. Kalshi’s stayed a...

The 2026 World Cup semi-final line-up is set: France vs Spain. But the real...

The ledger does not lie, it only waits to be read. Over the past 72 hours, I...

On July 3, 2025, Polymarket filed for a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM)...

Goldman Sachs just drew a line in the sand for prediction markets. An interna...

On July 20, 2023, the Women’s World Cup Round of 16 match between England and...

Hook On the night of December 3, 2022, a single transaction on Polymarket...

The quiet hum of the second layer was unusually loud last Thursday. At 2:17 P...

Trust is a bug. Polymarket’s World Cup markets have processed billions in...

Some 56 billion reasons to believe prediction markets have arrived. And 56...

I didn't believe the hype until I saw the numbers. June 2025: $5.6 billion in...

Twenty million in notional value on a single match. Ninety-four billion month...

Hook June 2025. The crypto industry collectively gasps at the numbers: $56...